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MLB same-game parlay: Touted Phillies novice pitcher Andrew Painter set for MLB launching Tuesday vs. Nationals


Top prospect Andrew Painter makes his MLB launching Tuesday vs. the Nationals, and I have a same-game parlay


There are a great deal of interesting storylines around Big league Baseball on an usually busy Tuesday in terms of guys making their first start of the year on the mound. Future Hall of Famers Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer and Shohei Ohtani all are set for their 2026 pitching debuts, for example, But I'll focus on Nationals-Phillies since it's the big-league launching of promoted Philadelphia novice right-hander Andrew Painter. It's a 6:40 ET first pitch on MLB Network.


Painter is the ranked as the No. 26 total prospect in the sport via MLB.com and No. 2 on the Phillies behind shortstop Aidan Miller, who is No. 21. Painter starts his profession at +2000 for NL Rookie of the Year. Outfielder Justin Crawford, the No. 51 overall prospect who is striking.333, is +2200. The Phils are trying to get more youthful on the fly as last year they had the second-oldest collection of position gamers (typical age: 30.3) and seventh-oldest pitching personnel (30) in the majors.


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The 6-foot-7, 215-pound Painter was the No. 13 overall choice in the 2021 MLB Draft out of a Florida high school with a total grade of 55 on a scale of 20-80 and a fastball graded at 70. He's thought about the top pitching possibility in the organization since future World Series MVP Cole Hamels more than 20 years earlier. A couple of guys from that 2021 draft class currently have actually made a pretty huge impact in the majors, such as Washington outfielder James Wood, Cincinnati beginning pitcher Andrew Abbott and San Diego more detailed Mason Miller.


Painter controlled Double-A in his very first full minor-league season and was called Baseball America's finest pitcher in the minors in 2022. But then his profession got sidetracked by Tommy John surgical treatment that kept him off a mound for 2023 and '24. Last year throughout two levels of the minors, he was 5-8 with a 5.26 ERA in 26 starts as his fastball command came and went, common for guys off TJS and clearly not multitudes.


But his fastball averaged 95.6 miles per hour in the minor leagues last year and reached 100.2 mph. The Phillies also had a gaping hole in the rotation after losing Ranger Suarez to free firm and with ace Zack Wheeler recovering from thoracic outlet decompression surgery. So Painter had a clear opening this spring and took it with a 2.31 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 4 getaways covering 11.2 innings to get the No. 5 spot.


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For this season, FanGraphs projects Painter at 7-8 with a 4.62 ERA in 124.0 innings, which undoubtedly would not suffice to win NL Rookie of the Year. Hamels didn't win that, and the only Phillies pitcher to do so was Jack Sanford in 1957.


Sitting 10 days shy of his 23rd birthday. Painter will be the youngest pitcher to start a game for the Phillies since Suárez on Aug. 16, 2018. Assuming Crawford plays this evening, it will mark the first time the Phils have an under-age 23 beginning pitcher and position player in a video game given that Aug. 7, 2015 when they were Aaron Nola and Maikel Franco.


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It's expected to be the most highly expected debut by a homegrown Phillies pitcher since Hamels on May 12, 2006, when he took a no-decision in Cincinnati with five nothing innings, enabling simply one hit with seven strikeouts. Hamels was a bit anxious with five walks, and I'll be playing Painter Over 1.5 strolls for the exact same factor. His whole family and even high school coach will remain in attendance. DraftKings lists him at Over/Under 2.5 made runs, 14.5 outs and 4.5 strikeouts, while the SportsLine Projection Model has him at 5.1 innings, 5.0 strikeouts and 2.7 earned runs.


Painter simply requires to be additional mindful with Washington outfielder Joey Wiemer. He had an MLB-record-tying streak of 10 successive plate appearances to open the season snapped Monday but after singling in his first two at-bats. Wiemer is hitting a cool MLB-best.800 on the season. Fairly certain that's not sustainable.


Nationals-Phillies DraftKings same-game parlay (+100 )


Phillies ML

Alt Under 11.5


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I do not have a huge lean on Painter general however believe he pitches pretty well, and the Phils win even if they aren't striking much at.189. The Nats will open with previous minor-league journeyman in 29-year-old PJ Poulin as the opener. Zack Littell most likely is the main behind him. The SportsLine Projection Model has Phillies 5.7-5.4.